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What’s really driving property prices

27/03/2026

What’s really driving property prices

Rising rates haven’t automatically led to falling property prices – and supply is a big reason why.

It’s easy to assume higher rates mean lower prices. But the data tells a more complex story.

What’s happening now

That means supply is improving slightly – but still tight overall.

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The bigger constraint

New construction isn’t keeping up.

Master Builders Australia has lowered its forecast for the amount of homes built over the five-year period of the National Housing Accord.

The reason? Labour shortages and cost pressures are slowing supply.

Property prices are being supported by:

So while growth may slow, a broad price decline isn’t guaranteed.

We can help you assess what this means for your borrowing power and whether now is the right time to act.